CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Philadelphia Phillies
63-56
VS7:45 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
59-59
STL 51% on the money line; model leans UNDER 9.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Andrew Painter
6.48 ERA · struggling · 3.0 R/5 allowed
STL
Hunter Dobbins
3.60 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win36%mkt 50%
STL to win64%mkt 51%
Total (model)8.7 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 64% vs market 51% (+1350pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 25.7% to go yard (35 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 24.5% to go yard (23 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 22.1% to go yard (19 HR)
- Jimmy Crooks STL — 19.4% to go yard (4 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Busch Stadium · park factor 99 (#19) · Clear , 81°F, wind 12 mph — Wind 12mph — check direction for carry
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Kyle Schwarber .274 AVG · 35 HR · .904 OPS
STL Jordan Walker .285 AVG · 23 HR · .834 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Caleb Kilian Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Derek Hill Day-To-Day Bruise
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PHI 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLLW
STL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: STL 64% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Andrew Painter (6.48 ERA) starts for PHI; Hunter Dobbins (3.60 ERA) starts for STL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Our model favors STL at 64% to win, with a projected 8.7 total runs.