CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 13, 7:30 PM ET · Target Field
Philadelphia Phillies
64-58
VS7:30 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
60-62
MIN 51% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Aaron Nola
5.47 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
MIN
Taj Bradley
3.76 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win45%mkt 50%
MIN to win55%mkt 51%
Total (model)8.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIN ML — model 55% vs market 51% (+450pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kody Clemens MIN — 27% to go yard (20 HR)
- Royce Lewis MIN — 24.2% to go yard (13 HR)
- Ryan Jeffers MIN — 23.5% to go yard (10 HR)
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 22.4% to go yard (35 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Target Field · park factor 100 (#14) · Clear , 74°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Kyle Schwarber .273 AVG · 35 HR · .903 OPS
MIN Kody Clemens .263 AVG · 25 HR · .747 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
MIN
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
PHI 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
MIN 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIN 55% to win, best value on MIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins?
Aaron Nola (5.47 ERA) starts for PHI; Taj Bradley (3.76 ERA) starts for MIN.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins?
Our model favors MIN at 55% to win, with a projected 8.9 total runs.