CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 1:35 PM ET · Camden Yards
Philadelphia Phillies
58-53
VS1:35 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
54-57
PHI 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Zack Wheeler
2.53 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
BAL
Kyle Bradish
3.74 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win53%mkt 56%
BAL to win47%mkt 45%
Total (model)8.3 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 47% vs market 45% (+270pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 21.4% to go yard (33 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 19.2% to go yard (23 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 18.9% to go yard (14 HR)
- Derek Hill PHI — 16.5% to go yard (8 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Clear, 81°F, wind 10 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
PHI Kyle Schwarber .279 AVG · 33 HR · .902 OPS
BAL Pete Alonso .249 AVG · 23 HR · .810 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Lou Trivino 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
BAL
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PHI 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
BAL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 53% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
Zack Wheeler (2.53 ERA) starts for PHI; Kyle Bradish (3.74 ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors PHI at 53% to win, with a projected 8.3 total runs.