CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 1, 7:05 PM ET · Camden Yards
Philadelphia Phillies
57-53
VS7:05 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
54-56
PHI 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
Cristopher Sánchez
ERA — · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
BAL
Shane Baz
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win49%mkt 56%
BAL to win51%mkt 44%
Total (model)8.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 51% vs market 44% (+720pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Pete Alonso BAL — 14.8% to go yard (23 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 14.8% to go yard (14 HR)
- Colton Cowser BAL — 13% to go yard (8 HR)
- Tyler O'Neill BAL — 12.5% to go yard (7 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Clear , 75°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Lou Trivino 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Johan Rojas 60-Day-IL Surgery
BAL
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PHI 1-4 last 5 · W1
WLLLL
BAL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 51% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
Cristopher Sánchez (— ERA) starts for PHI; Shane Baz (— ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors BAL at 51% to win, with a projected 8.9 total runs.