CobiaPhiladelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Jul 31, 7:05 PM ET · Camden Yards
Philadelphia Phillies
57-52
VS7:05 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
53-56
BAL 52% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
PHI
TBD
ERA —
BAL
Brandon Young
3.13 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
PHI to win41%mkt 49%
BAL to win59%mkt 52%
Total (model)8.2 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: BAL ML — model 59% vs market 52% (+750pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 19.3% to go yard (33 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 19.1% to go yard (14 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 18.9% to go yard (22 HR)
- Colton Cowser BAL — 16.3% to go yard (8 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Sunny, 84°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🩹 Injury Report
PHI
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Lou Trivino 15-Day-IL Spasms
- Kyle Schwarber Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
BAL
- Chris Bassitt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan Mountcastle 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
PHI 0-0 last 0
—
BAL 0-0 last 0
—
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: BAL 59% to win, best value on BAL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
TBD (— ERA) starts for PHI; Brandon Young (3.13 ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors BAL at 59% to win, with a projected 8.2 total runs.