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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers

Sun, Aug 16, 1:37 PM ET · Rogers Centre

New York Yankees
68-55
VS1:37 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
61-64

TOR 53% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Ryan Weathers
NYY
Ryan Weathers
3.69 ERA · sharp · 0.9 R/5 allowed
Dylan Cease
TOR
Dylan Cease
2.40 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

NYY to win57%mkt 48%
TOR to win43%mkt 53%
Total (model)6.1 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 57% vs market 48% (+930pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Kazuma Okamoto TOR14.9% to go yard (24 HR)
  • Jesús Sánchez TOR13.8% to go yard (8 HR)
  • Ben Rice NYY12.9% to go yard (32 HR)
  • Brandon Valenzuela TOR12.8% to go yard (8 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Clear , 70°F, wind 9 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral

🔥 Hot Bats

NYY Ben Rice .259 AVG · 32 HR · .875 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .283 AVG · 24 HR · .728 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

NYY
  • Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
  • Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Kervin Castro 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain
TOR
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 7-Day IL Concussion
  • Spencer Arrighetti 15-Day-IL Soreness
  • Brendon Little Paternity Personal
  • Jake Bloss 60-Day-IL Strain
  • Lenyn Sosa 60-Day-IL Bruise

📈 Recent Form

NYY 2-3 last 5 · W2
WWLLL
TOR 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: NYY 57% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Ryan Weathers (3.69 ERA) starts for NYY; Dylan Cease (2.40 ERA) starts for TOR.

What is the prediction for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Our model favors NYY at 57% to win, with a projected 6.1 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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