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New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins — Prediction & Pitchers

Tue, Sep 15, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field

New York Yankees
87-63
VS7:40 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
70-80

NYY 63% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Max Fried
NYY
Max Fried
2.73 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
4.28 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

NYY to win63%mkt 63%
MIN to win37%mkt 38%
Total (model)7.4 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 63% vs market 63% (+10pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Ben Rice NYY17.6% to go yard (38 HR)
  • Aaron Judge NYY17.6% to go yard (18 HR)
  • Spencer Jones NYY16.5% to go yard (9 HR)
  • Paul Goldschmidt NYY15.6% to go yard (18 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Target Field · park factor 100 (#14) · Patchy rain nearby, 66°F, wind 8 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball

🔥 Hot Bats

NYY Ben Rice .268 AVG · 38 HR · .888 OPS
MIN Kody Clemens .272 AVG · 26 HR · .771 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

NYY
  • Ryan Weathers 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 10-Day-IL Sprain
  • Fernando Cruz 15-Day-IL Soreness
  • Trent Grisham 10-Day-IL Strain
MIN
  • Trevor Larnach Day-To-Day Soreness
  • Royce Lewis Day-To-Day Soreness
  • Kaelen Culpepper Day-To-Day Bruise
  • Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Surgery
  • Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain

📈 Recent Form

NYY 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
MIN 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: NYY 63% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins?

Max Fried (2.73 ERA) starts for NYY; Bailey Ober (4.28 ERA) starts for MIN.

What is the prediction for New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins?

Our model favors NYY at 63% to win, with a projected 7.4 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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