CobiaNew York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
New York Yankees
62-49
VS2:20 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
63-48
NYY 55% on the money line; model leans OVER 6.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYY
Gerrit Cole
3.57 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
CHC
Colin Rea
4.67 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYY to win56%mkt 55%
CHC to win44%mkt 46%
Total (model)8.5 Rline 6.5
Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 56% vs market 55% (+120pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Ben Rice NYY — 22.3% to go yard (31 HR)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC — 19.7% to go yard (24 HR)
- Michael Conforto CHC — 18.7% to go yard (9 HR)
- Amed Rosario NYY — 17.6% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Clear , 70°F, wind 16 mph — Wind 16mph — check direction for carry
🔥 Hot Bats
NYY Ben Rice .268 AVG · 31 HR · .925 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .283 AVG · 24 HR · .920 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYY
- Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
- Clarke Schmidt 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day-IL Strain
CHC
- Justin Steele 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Gavin Hollowell 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Hoby Milner 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
- Daniel Palencia 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYY 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
CHC 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYY 56% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs?
Gerrit Cole (3.57 ERA) starts for NYY; Colin Rea (4.67 ERA) starts for CHC.
What is the prediction for New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs?
Our model favors NYY at 56% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.