CobiaNew York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 18, 6:35 PM ET · Camden Yards
New York Yankees
69-55
VS6:35 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
61-64
NYY 52% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYY
Carlos Rodón
3.30 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
BAL
Shane Baz
4.00 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYY to win58%mkt 52%
BAL to win42%mkt 49%
Total (model)8.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: NYY ML — model 58% vs market 52% (+620pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL — 13.1% to go yard (6 HR)
- Ben Rice NYY — 13% to go yard (33 HR)
- Pete Alonso BAL — 12.9% to go yard (28 HR)
- Coby Mayo BAL — 12.7% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Light drizzle, 74°F, wind 6 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
NYY Ben Rice .259 AVG · 33 HR · .877 OPS
BAL Pete Alonso .267 AVG · 28 HR · .857 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYY
- Max Fried 15-Day-IL Bruise
- Carlos Rodon 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cody Bellinger 10-Day-IL Strain
- Aaron Judge 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Kervin Castro 15-Day-IL Inflammation
BAL
- Felix Bautista 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Samuel Basallo 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Blaze Alexander 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Colin Selby 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
NYY 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
BAL 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYY 58% to win, best value on NYY ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles?
Carlos Rodón (3.30 ERA) starts for NYY; Shane Baz (4.00 ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors NYY at 58% to win, with a projected 8.5 total runs.