CobiaNew York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 9, 1:35 PM ET · PNC Park
New York Mets
51-67
VS1:35 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
58-61
PIT 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Sean Manaea
4.33 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
PIT
Jared Jones
4.02 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win43%mkt 44%
PIT to win57%mkt 56%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: PIT ML — model 57% vs market 56% (+60pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 21.4% to go yard (14 HR)
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 20.4% to go yard (12 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 17.8% to go yard (25 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 15.9% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Clear , 75°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Carson Benge .270 AVG · 21 HR · .742 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .309 AVG · 25 HR · .822 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Carson Benge Day-To-Day Bruise
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYM 4-1 last 5 · W4
WWWWL
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PIT 57% to win, best value on PIT ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Sean Manaea (4.33 ERA) starts for NYM; Jared Jones (4.02 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors PIT at 57% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.