CobiaNew York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 7, 6:40 PM ET · PNC Park · Final
New York Mets
51-66
6
VS
Pittsburgh Pirates
57-61
4
FINAL · NYM 6–4 PIT
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Zac Thornton
2.52 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
PIT
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.51 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win47%mkt 100%
PIT to win53%mkt 0%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 8.5
🕵️ Smart-money lean: New York Mets — 8 sharps, 7 elite, 81% one-sided (conv 74)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 17.4% to go yard (14 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 14.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Endy Rodríguez PIT — 13.1% to go yard (7 HR)
- Bryan Reynolds PIT — 12.3% to go yard (15 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Clear , 75°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Carson Benge .270 AVG · 21 HR · .742 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .311 AVG · 24 HR · .819 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Carson Benge Day-To-Day Soreness
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
PIT
- Oneil Cruz 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYM 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
PIT 1-4 last 5 · W1
WLLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PIT 53% to win. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Zac Thornton (2.52 ERA) starts for NYM; Carmen Mlodzinski (3.51 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors PIT at 53% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.