CobiaNew York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 2:10 PM ET · Rate Field
New York Mets
59-71
VS2:10 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
67-62
NYM 51% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Nolan McLean
3.34 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
CWS
Sean Newcomb
2.44 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win34%mkt 51%
CWS to win66%mkt 50%
Total (model)7.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CWS ML — model 66% vs market 50% (+1600pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Munetaka Murakami CWS — 16.9% to go yard (29 HR)
- Miguel Vargas CWS — 14.7% to go yard (29 HR)
- Colson Montgomery CWS — 13.6% to go yard (27 HR)
- Randal Grichuk CWS — 13.4% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rate Field · park factor 97 (#23) · Clear , 66°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Carson Benge .276 AVG · 21 HR · .761 OPS
CWS Munetaka Murakami .272 AVG · 29 HR · .881 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Jorge Polanco 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
CWS
- Davis Martin 15-Day-IL Abrasion
- Kyle Teel 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joey Bart 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Chris Murphy 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYM 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
CWS 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CWS 66% to win, best value on CWS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox?
Nolan McLean (3.34 ERA) starts for NYM; Sean Newcomb (2.44 ERA) starts for CWS.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox?
Our model favors CWS at 66% to win, with a projected 7.1 total runs.