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New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Pitchers

Fri, Aug 21, 7:40 PM ET · Rate Field

New York Mets
58-70
VS7:40 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
66-61

CWS 59% on the money line.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Sean Manaea
NYM
Sean Manaea
4.22 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
Sean Burke
CWS
Sean Burke
3.15 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

NYM to win40%mkt 42%
CWS to win60%mkt 59%
Total (model)7.8 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: CWS ML — model 60% vs market 59% (+190pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Munetaka Murakami CWS17.6% to go yard (29 HR)
  • Miguel Vargas CWS17.2% to go yard (28 HR)
  • Colson Montgomery CWS15.8% to go yard (26 HR)
  • Randal Grichuk CWS15% to go yard (10 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Rate Field · park factor 97 (#23) · Clear , 63°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

NYM Carson Benge .272 AVG · 21 HR · .752 OPS
CWS Munetaka Murakami .273 AVG · 29 HR · .893 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

NYM
  • Jorge Polanco 10-Day-IL Surgery
  • Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
  • Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
  • Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Devin Williams 15-Day-IL Strain
CWS
  • Davis Martin 15-Day-IL Finger
  • Kyle Teel 10-Day-IL Sprain
  • Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Joey Bart 10-Day-IL Fracture
  • Chris Murphy 15-Day-IL Strain

📈 Recent Form

NYM 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
CWS 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: CWS 60% to win, best value on CWS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox?

Sean Manaea (4.22 ERA) starts for NYM; Sean Burke (3.15 ERA) starts for CWS.

What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox?

Our model favors CWS at 60% to win, with a projected 7.8 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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