CobiaNew York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Aug 6, 1:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
New York Mets
49-66
VS1:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
57-58
NYM 51% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Nolan McLean
3.29 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
CLE
Foster Griffin
3.06 ERA · steady · 2.4 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win56%mkt 51%
CLE to win44%mkt 50%
Total (model)6.5 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: NYM ML — model 56% vs market 51% (+550pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 21% to go yard (12 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 16.1% to go yard (9 HR)
- Jared Young NYM — 15.5% to go yard (7 HR)
- Rhys Hoskins CLE — 15.3% to go yard (12 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Progressive Field · park factor 97 (#24) · Clear , 71°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
CLE Chase DeLauter .276 AVG · 13 HR · .791 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
CLE
- Jose Ramirez Day-To-Day Soreness
- Shawn Armstrong 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYM 2-3 last 5 · L3
LLLWW
CLE 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYM 56% to win, best value on NYM ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Nolan McLean (3.29 ERA) starts for NYM; Foster Griffin (3.06 ERA) starts for CLE.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Our model favors NYM at 56% to win, with a projected 6.5 total runs.