CobiaNew York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 5, 6:40 PM ET · Progressive Field
New York Mets
48-66
VS6:40 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
57-57
NYM 51% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Christian Scott
2.99 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
CLE
Tanner Bibee
3.81 ERA · steady · 1.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win55%mkt 51%
CLE to win45%mkt 50%
Total (model)6.5 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: NYM ML — model 55% vs market 51% (+450pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 21.1% to go yard (12 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 16.3% to go yard (9 HR)
- Jared Young NYM — 15.7% to go yard (7 HR)
- Rhys Hoskins CLE — 15.2% to go yard (12 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Progressive Field · park factor 97 (#24) · Clear , 66°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
CLE Chase DeLauter .279 AVG · 13 HR · .796 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
CLE
- Shawn Armstrong 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jose Ramirez Day-To-Day Soreness
📈 Recent Form
NYM 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
CLE 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYM 55% to win, best value on NYM ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Christian Scott (2.99 ERA) starts for NYM; Tanner Bibee (3.81 ERA) starts for CLE.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Our model favors NYM at 55% to win, with a projected 6.5 total runs.