CobiaNew York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 4, 6:40 PM ET · Progressive Field
New York Mets
47-66
VS6:40 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
57-56
CLE 59% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Sean Manaea
4.42 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
CLE
Joey Cantillo
3.88 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win51%mkt 42%
CLE to win49%mkt 59%
Total (model)7.5 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: NYM ML — model 51% vs market 42% (+980pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Rhys Hoskins CLE — 18.2% to go yard (12 HR)
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 17.9% to go yard (12 HR)
- Gabriel Arias CLE — 16% to go yard (5 HR)
- Angel Martínez CLE — 14.5% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Progressive Field · park factor 97 (#24) · Clear , 64°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
CLE Chase DeLauter .278 AVG · 13 HR · .791 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
CLE
- Shawn Armstrong 15-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
NYM 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
CLE 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: NYM 51% to win, best value on NYM ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Sean Manaea (4.42 ERA) starts for NYM; Joey Cantillo (3.88 ERA) starts for CLE.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians?
Our model favors NYM at 51% to win, with a projected 7.5 total runs.