CobiaNew York Mets vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
New York Mets
52-67
VS7:15 PM ET
Atlanta Braves
71-47
ATL 59% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
NYM
Christian Scott
3.15 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
ATL
Bryce Elder
3.69 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
NYM to win33%mkt 42%
ATL to win67%mkt 59%
Total (model)7.6 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: ATL ML — model 67% vs market 59% (+860pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 21.7% to go yard (13 HR)
- Matt Olson ATL — 18.8% to go yard (34 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 16.2% to go yard (10 HR)
- Drake Baldwin ATL — 16.1% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Truist Park · park factor 100 (#11) · Clear , 75°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Carson Benge .272 AVG · 21 HR · .744 OPS
ATL Matt Olson .291 AVG · 34 HR · .895 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Warren 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
ATL
- Robert Suarez 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Reynaldo Lopez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Strider 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Schwellenbach 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joe Jimenez 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
NYM 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
ATL 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: ATL 67% to win, best value on ATL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
Christian Scott (3.15 ERA) starts for NYM; Bryce Elder (3.69 ERA) starts for ATL.
What is the prediction for New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves?
Our model favors ATL at 67% to win, with a projected 7.6 total runs.