CobiaMinnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 4:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Minnesota Twins
56-56
VS4:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
54-58
SEA 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIN
Taj Bradley
3.65 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
SEA
George Kirby
3.98 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIN to win57%mkt 45%
SEA to win43%mkt 56%
Total (model)7.8 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIN ML — model 57% vs market 45% (+1210pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 18.7% to go yard (18 HR)
- Kody Clemens MIN — 15.6% to go yard (19 HR)
- Ryan Jeffers MIN — 15.4% to go yard (10 HR)
- Cal Raleigh SEA — 14.9% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Partly cloudy, 64°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIN Byron Buxton .263 AVG · 25 HR · .864 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .283 AVG · 18 HR · .836 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIN
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mick Abel 60-Day-IL Surgery
SEA
- Luke Raley 10-Day-IL Soreness
- Carlos Vargas 60-Day-IL Strain
- Brendan Donovan 10-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIN 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
SEA 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIN 57% to win, best value on MIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners?
Taj Bradley (3.65 ERA) starts for MIN; George Kirby (3.98 ERA) starts for SEA.
What is the prediction for Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners?
Our model favors MIN at 57% to win, with a projected 7.8 total runs.