CobiaMinnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 1, 4:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Minnesota Twins
56-55
VS4:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
53-58
SEA 61% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIN
Connor Prielipp
4.73 ERA · sharp · 1.9 R/5 allowed
SEA
Logan Gilbert
3.44 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIN to win54%mkt 40%
SEA to win46%mkt 61%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIN ML — model 54% vs market 40% (+1450pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Dominic Canzone SEA — 16.6% to go yard (18 HR)
- Luke Raley SEA — 16.5% to go yard (15 HR)
- Kody Clemens MIN — 15.3% to go yard (19 HR)
- Ryan Jeffers MIN — 15.2% to go yard (10 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
T-Mobile Park · park factor 95 (#29) · Clear , 67°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIN Byron Buxton .263 AVG · 25 HR · .864 OPS
SEA Randy Arozarena .280 AVG · 18 HR · .822 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIN
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Byron Buxton 10-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mike Paredes 15-Day-IL Strain
- Mick Abel 60-Day-IL Surgery
SEA
- Luke Raley Day-To-Day Soreness
- Carlos Vargas 60-Day-IL Strain
- Brendan Donovan 10-Day-IL Strain
- J.P. Crawford 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Cooper Criswell 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIN 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
SEA 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIN 54% to win, best value on MIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners?
Connor Prielipp (4.73 ERA) starts for MIN; Logan Gilbert (3.44 ERA) starts for SEA.
What is the prediction for Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners?
Our model favors MIN at 54% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.