CobiaMinnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 23, 4:10 PM ET · Petco Park
Minnesota Twins
63-67
VS4:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres
70-60
SD 56% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIN
Bailey Ober
4.62 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
SD
Walker Buehler
4.79 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIN to win43%mkt 44%
SD to win57%mkt 56%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: SD ML — model 57% vs market 56% (+0pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Byron Buxton MIN — 15.5% to go yard (25 HR)
- Ty France SD — 14.7% to go yard (18 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 14% to go yard (24 HR)
- Jackson Merrill SD — 13.9% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Partly Cloudy , 72°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIN Kody Clemens .274 AVG · 25 HR · .764 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .285 AVG · 24 HR · .795 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIN
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Martin 10-Day-IL Strain
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
SD
- Casey Mize Day-To-Day Sprain
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
MIN 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
SD 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 57% to win. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Bailey Ober (4.62 ERA) starts for MIN; Walker Buehler (4.79 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors SD at 57% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.