CobiaMinnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 22, 8:40 PM ET · Petco Park · Final
Minnesota Twins
63-67
5
VS
San Diego Padres
70-60
7
FINAL · MIN 5–7 SD
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIN
Dean Kremer
5.22 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
SD
Casey Mize
3.44 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIN to win44%mkt 0%
SD to win56%mkt 100%
Total (model)8.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIN ML — model 44% vs market 0% (+4440pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Byron Buxton MIN — 14.9% to go yard (25 HR)
- Ty France SD — 14% to go yard (18 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 13.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Jackson Merrill SD — 13.4% to go yard (20 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Overcast , 70°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIN Kody Clemens .274 AVG · 25 HR · .764 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .285 AVG · 24 HR · .795 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIN
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Martin 10-Day-IL Strain
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
SD
- Casey Mize Day-To-Day Sprain
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
MIN 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
SD 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 56% to win, best value on MIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Dean Kremer (5.22 ERA) starts for MIN; Casey Mize (3.44 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors SD at 56% to win, with a projected 8.1 total runs.