CobiaMinnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 21, 9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Minnesota Twins
63-65
VS9:40 PM ET
San Diego Padres
68-60
SD 59% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIN
Connor Prielipp
5.34 ERA · struggling · 3.5 R/5 allowed
SD
TBD
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIN to win42%mkt 41%
SD to win58%mkt 59%
Total (model)9 R
Biggest edge: MIN ML — model 42% vs market 41% (+120pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Byron Buxton MIN — 17.4% to go yard (25 HR)
- Kody Clemens MIN — 13.9% to go yard (21 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 13.2% to go yard (24 HR)
- Ty France SD — 13.2% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Clear , 71°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIN Kody Clemens .272 AVG · 25 HR · .758 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .280 AVG · 24 HR · .788 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIN
- Joe Ryan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Austin Martin 10-Day-IL Strain
- Mike Paredes 60-Day-IL Strain
- Cole Sands 60-Day-IL Surgery
- David Festa 60-Day-IL Surgery
SD
- Xander Bogaerts Day-To-Day Hamstring
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Samad Taylor 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIN 3-2 last 5 · L2
LLWWW
SD 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: SD 58% to win, best value on MIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Connor Prielipp (5.34 ERA) starts for MIN; TBD (— ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors SD at 58% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.