CobiaMilwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 4:10 PM ET · Petco Park
Milwaukee Brewers
74-46
VS4:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres
64-57
MIL 54% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIL
Dustin May
4.30 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
SD
Robbie Ray
3.24 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIL to win57%mkt 54%
SD to win43%mkt 47%
Total (model)7.1 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 57% vs market 54% (+380pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jake Bauers MIL — 17.2% to go yard (21 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 16.6% to go yard (17 HR)
- Gary Sánchez MIL — 13.8% to go yard (9 HR)
- Garrett Mitchell MIL — 13.7% to go yard (8 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Partly cloudy, 73°F, wind 8 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIL Jake Bauers .278 AVG · 21 HR · .875 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .281 AVG · 23 HR · .770 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIL
- Brice Turang Day-To-Day Sprain
- Cooper Pratt 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joey Ortiz Day-To-Day Not Specified
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
SD
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Lucas Giolito 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Samad Taylor 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIL 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWWLL
SD 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 57% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Dustin May (4.30 ERA) starts for MIL; Robbie Ray (3.24 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors MIL at 57% to win, with a projected 7.1 total runs.