CobiaMilwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Milwaukee Brewers
74-45
VS9:40 PM ET
San Diego Padres
63-57
MIL 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIL
Kyle Harrison
2.84 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
SD
Walker Buehler
5.07 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIL to win68%mkt 56%
SD to win32%mkt 44%
Total (model)8 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 68% vs market 56% (+1150pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jake Bauers MIL — 17.5% to go yard (21 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 16.9% to go yard (17 HR)
- Ty France SD — 14.8% to go yard (17 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 14.4% to go yard (23 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Clear , 73°F, wind 7 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIL Jake Bauers .280 AVG · 21 HR · .881 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .280 AVG · 23 HR · .763 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIL
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Joey Ortiz Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Cooper Pratt 10-Day-IL Strain
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
- Joel Kuhnel 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
SD
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Lucas Giolito 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Samad Taylor 10-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
SD 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 68% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Kyle Harrison (2.84 ERA) starts for MIL; Walker Buehler (5.07 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors MIL at 68% to win, with a projected 8 total runs.