CobiaMilwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Milwaukee Brewers
74-44
VS9:40 PM ET
San Diego Padres
62-57
MIL 53% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIL
Logan Henderson
2.70 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed
SD
Casey Mize
3.40 ERA · struggling · 3.1 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIL to win73%mkt 53%
SD to win27%mkt 48%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 73% vs market 53% (+2040pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Ty France SD — 16.9% to go yard (16 HR)
- Manny Machado SD — 16.5% to go yard (23 HR)
- Jackson Merrill SD — 15.4% to go yard (18 HR)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. SD — 13.7% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Petco Park · park factor 96 (#28) · Clear , 75°F, wind 6 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIL Jake Bauers .275 AVG · 21 HR · .882 OPS
SD Fernando Tatis Jr. .283 AVG · 23 HR · .769 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIL
- Joey Ortiz Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Cooper Pratt 10-Day-IL Strain
- Sal Frelick 10-Day-IL Strain
- JoJo Romero 15-Day-IL Abdomen
- Joel Kuhnel 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
SD
- Joe Musgrove 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Miguel Andujar 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Nick Pivetta 60-Day-IL Strain
- Samad Taylor 10-Day-IL Strain
- Jason Adam 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
MIL 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
SD 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 73% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Logan Henderson (2.70 ERA) starts for MIL; Casey Mize (3.40 ERA) starts for SD.
What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?
Our model favors MIL at 73% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.