CobiaMilwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Thu, Sep 17, 12:35 PM ET · PNC Park
Milwaukee Brewers
95-57
VS12:35 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
75-77
MIL 57% on the money line; model leans OVER 9.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIL
Kyle Harrison
3.98 ERA · struggling · 4.0 R/5 allowed
PIT
Wilber Dotel
4.84 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIL to win57%mkt 57%
PIT to win43%mkt 43%
Total (model)10.3 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 57% vs market 57% (+60pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Oneil Cruz PIT — 17.5% to go yard (19 HR)
- Rafael Flores Jr. PIT — 17.5% to go yard (9 HR)
- Brandon Lowe PIT — 16.8% to go yard (31 HR)
- Bryan Reynolds PIT — 13.5% to go yard (17 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Fog, 72°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIL Jake Bauers .288 AVG · 26 HR · .891 OPS
PIT Brandon Lowe .307 AVG · 31 HR · .813 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIL
- Garrett Mitchell Day-To-Day Soreness
- Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Bryse Wilson 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Rob Zastryzny 60-Day-IL Strain
PIT
- Esmerlyn Valdez 10-Day-IL Strain
- Braxton Ashcraft 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Isaac Mattson 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Kirby Yates 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Endy Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIL 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
PIT 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 57% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Kyle Harrison (3.98 ERA) starts for MIL; Wilber Dotel (4.84 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors MIL at 57% to win, with a projected 10.3 total runs.