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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers

Wed, Sep 16, 6:40 PM ET · PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers
94-57
VS6:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
75-76

MIL 56% on the money line.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Logan Henderson
MIL
Logan Henderson
2.34 ERA · sharp · 1.2 R/5 allowed
Jared Jones
PIT
Jared Jones
4.10 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

MIL to win67%mkt 56%
PIT to win33%mkt 45%
Total (model)7.5 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 67% vs market 56% (+1120pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Jake Bauers MIL16.3% to go yard (26 HR)
  • Jackson Chourio MIL14.9% to go yard (23 HR)
  • Garrett Mitchell MIL13.1% to go yard (11 HR)
  • William Contreras MIL12.8% to go yard (17 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18)

🔥 Hot Bats

MIL Jake Bauers .289 AVG · 26 HR · .889 OPS
PIT Brandon Lowe .307 AVG · 30 HR · .803 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

MIL
  • Cooper Pratt Day-To-Day Illness
  • Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Bryse Wilson 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Rob Zastryzny 60-Day-IL Strain
PIT
  • Esmerlyn Valdez 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Braxton Ashcraft 15-Day-IL Soreness
  • Isaac Mattson 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Kirby Yates 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
  • Endy Rodriguez 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

MIL 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
PIT 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: MIL 67% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?

Logan Henderson (2.34 ERA) starts for MIL; Jared Jones (4.10 ERA) starts for PIT.

What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?

Our model favors MIL at 67% to win, with a projected 7.5 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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