CobiaMilwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Sep 18, 7:05 PM ET · Camden Yards
Milwaukee Brewers
95-58
VS7:05 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
75-78
MIL 56% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIL
Dustin May
4.49 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
BAL
TBD
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIL to win64%mkt 56%
BAL to win36%mkt 44%
Total (model)9.7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIL ML — model 64% vs market 56% (+720pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Jake Bauers MIL — 15.5% to go yard (26 HR)
- Jackson Chourio MIL — 14.9% to go yard (23 HR)
- Gary Sánchez MIL — 13.1% to go yard (11 HR)
- Garrett Mitchell MIL — 12.9% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Camden Yards · park factor 105 (#4) · Sunny, 72°F, wind 10 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIL Jake Bauers .286 AVG · 26 HR · .891 OPS
BAL Pete Alonso .267 AVG · 37 HR · .864 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIL
- Garrett Mitchell Day-To-Day Soreness
- Grant Anderson 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Bryse Wilson 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brandon Woodruff 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brian Fitzpatrick 60-Day-IL Surgery
BAL
- Jackson Holliday 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Kyle Bradish 15-Day-IL Soreness
- Shane Baz Day-To-Day Elbow
- Christian Franklin 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan Helsley 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
MIL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
BAL 3-2 last 5 · L2
LLWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIL 64% to win, best value on MIL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles?
Dustin May (4.49 ERA) starts for MIL; TBD (— ERA) starts for BAL.
What is the prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles?
Our model favors MIL at 64% to win, with a projected 9.7 total runs.