CobiaMiami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 18, 6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Miami Marlins
64-62
VS6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
68-58
PHI 68% on the money line; model leans OVER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Cade Gibson
5.61 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
PHI
Zack Wheeler
2.89 ERA · struggling · 2.7 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win44%mkt 33%
PHI to win56%mkt 68%
Total (model)8.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 44% vs market 33% (+1150pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 17.4% to go yard (13 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 15.6% to go yard (13 HR)
- Kyle Schwarber PHI — 14.6% to go yard (37 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 14.5% to go yard (18 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citizens Bank Park · park factor 103 (#6) · Heavy rain at times, 73°F, wind 4 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Liam Hicks .310 AVG · 18 HR · .795 OPS
PHI Kyle Schwarber .272 AVG · 37 HR · .901 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Joe Mack Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
PHI
- Derek Hill Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Tanner Banks 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rafael Marchan 10-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Caleb Kilian 15-Day-IL Strain
- Brad Keller 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIA 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWWL
PHI 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: PHI 56% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Cade Gibson (5.61 ERA) starts for MIA; Zack Wheeler (2.89 ERA) starts for PHI.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies?
Our model favors PHI at 56% to win, with a projected 8.9 total runs.