CobiaMiami Marlins vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 2, 1:40 PM ET · Citi Field
Miami Marlins
57-55
VS1:40 PM ET
New York Mets
47-65
MIA 53% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
3.82 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed
NYM
Robert Stock
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win62%mkt 53%
NYM to win38%mkt 48%
Total (model)7.6 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 62% vs market 53% (+940pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 21.9% to go yard (10 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 20.5% to go yard (12 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 19.5% to go yard (16 HR)
- Kyle Stowers MIA — 17.9% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Clear , 74°F, wind 9 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Otto Lopez .322 AVG · 16 HR · .836 OPS
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Michael Petersen Day-To-Day Bruise
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Josh Ekness 60-Day-IL Strain
- Ronny Henriquez 60-Day-IL Surgery
NYM
- Clay Holmes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
MIA 4-1 last 5 · W2
WWLWW
NYM 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 62% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Sandy Alcantara (3.82 ERA) starts for MIA; Robert Stock (— ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Our model favors MIA at 62% to win, with a projected 7.6 total runs.