CobiaMiami Marlins vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 1, 4:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Miami Marlins
56-55
VS4:10 PM ET
New York Mets
47-64
NYM 55% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Tyler Phillips
3.52 ERA
NYM
Zac Thornton
2.43 ERA
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win51%mkt 46%
NYM to win49%mkt 55%
Total (model)7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 51% vs market 46% (+540pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Francisco Alvarez NYM — 18% to go yard (12 HR)
- Tyrone Taylor NYM — 16.4% to go yard (9 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 14.1% to go yard (9 HR)
- Jared Young NYM — 14% to go yard (7 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Smoky haze, 72°F, wind 6 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Leo Jimenez Day-To-Day Not Specified
- Owen Caissie 10-Day-IL Strain
- Michael Petersen Day-To-Day Bruise
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Clay Holmes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
MIA 0-0 last 0
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NYM 0-0 last 0
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🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 51% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Tyler Phillips (3.52 ERA) starts for MIA; Zac Thornton (2.43 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Our model favors MIA at 51% to win, with a projected 7 total runs.