CobiaMiami Marlins vs New York Mets — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Jul 31, 7:10 PM ET · Citi Field · Final
Miami Marlins
56-55
5
VS
New York Mets
47-64
2
FINAL · MIA 5–2 NYM
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Janson Junk
4.58 ERA · steady · 2.3 R/5 allowed
NYM
Kodai Senga
8.66 ERA · struggling · 2.9 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win66%mkt 100%
NYM to win34%mkt 0%
Total (model)9.1 Rline 8.5
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Miami Marlins — 5 sharps, 4 elite, 100% one-sided (conv 80)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 17.5% to go yard (9 HR)
- Tyrone Taylor NYM — 17.3% to go yard (9 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 16.2% to go yard (16 HR)
- Francisco Lindor NYM — 15.2% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Citi Field · park factor 97 (#26) · Sunny, 92°F, wind 13 mph — Hot 92° — thin air, ball carries (lean Over)
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Otto Lopez .322 AVG · 16 HR · .837 OPS
NYM Juan Soto .283 AVG · 21 HR · .947 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Michael Petersen Day-To-Day Bruise
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Josh Ekness 60-Day-IL Strain
- Ronny Henriquez 60-Day-IL Surgery
NYM
- Cionel Perez 15-Day-IL Strain
- Clay Holmes 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Juan Soto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Justin Hagenman 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Mark Vientos 10-Day-IL Fracture
📈 Recent Form
MIA 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
NYM 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 66% to win. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Janson Junk (4.58 ERA) starts for MIA; Kodai Senga (8.66 ERA) starts for NYM.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs New York Mets?
Our model favors MIA at 66% to win, with a projected 9.1 total runs.