CobiaMiami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 16, 1:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Miami Marlins
63-61
VS1:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
59-63
MIA 54% on the money line; model leans UNDER 9.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Eury Pérez
3.39 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
CIN
Nick Lodolo
4.86 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win66%mkt 54%
CIN to win34%mkt 47%
Total (model)8.4 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 66% vs market 54% (+1260pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 18% to go yard (13 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 17.7% to go yard (13 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 17.6% to go yard (17 HR)
- Joe Mack MIA — 17.5% to go yard (12 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Clear , 76°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Liam Hicks .308 AVG · 17 HR · .795 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .264 AVG · 26 HR · .825 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- William Kempner 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
CIN
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIA 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLLW
CIN 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 66% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?
Eury Pérez (3.39 ERA) starts for MIA; Nick Lodolo (4.86 ERA) starts for CIN.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?
Our model favors MIA at 66% to win, with a projected 8.4 total runs.