CobiaMiami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Pitchers
Sat, Aug 15, 6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Miami Marlins
62-61
VS6:40 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
59-62
CIN 51% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Ryan Gusto
4.78 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
CIN
Brady Singer
4.66 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win56%mkt 50%
CIN to win44%mkt 51%
Total (model)9.4 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: MIA ML — model 56% vs market 50% (+680pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 18% to go yard (13 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 17.7% to go yard (13 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 17.6% to go yard (17 HR)
- Joe Mack MIA — 17.4% to go yard (11 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Great American Ball Park · park factor 108 (#2) · Clear , 73°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Otto Lopez .312 AVG · 17 HR · .802 OPS
CIN Elly De La Cruz .266 AVG · 26 HR · .833 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Fracture
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- William Kempner 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL Strain
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
CIN
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
- Hunter Greene 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Spencer Steer 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIA 3-2 last 5 · W3
WWWLL
CIN 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: MIA 56% to win, best value on MIA ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?
Ryan Gusto (4.78 ERA) starts for MIA; Brady Singer (4.66 ERA) starts for CIN.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds?
Our model favors MIA at 56% to win, with a projected 9.4 total runs.