CobiaMiami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 5, 7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Miami Marlins
58-56
VS7:15 PM ET
Atlanta Braves
68-45
ATL 55% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Eury Pérez
3.44 ERA · sharp · 1.4 R/5 allowed
ATL
Bryce Elder
3.84 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win45%mkt 46%
ATL to win55%mkt 55%
Total (model)7.4 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: ATL ML — model 55% vs market 55% (+100pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 24.9% to go yard (10 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 22.6% to go yard (12 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 21.3% to go yard (16 HR)
- Matt Olson ATL — 20.5% to go yard (31 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Truist Park · park factor 100 (#11) · Clear , 71°F, wind 3 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Otto Lopez .323 AVG · 16 HR · .837 OPS
ATL Matt Olson .287 AVG · 31 HR · .889 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Ronny Henriquez 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Anthony Bender 15-Day-IL Lower Leg
- William Kempner 15-Day-IL Sprain
ATL
- Reynaldo Lopez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Strider 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Schwellenbach 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Robert Suarez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Joe Jimenez 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIA 3-2 last 5 · L1
LWWWL
ATL 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: ATL 55% to win, best value on ATL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves?
Eury Pérez (3.44 ERA) starts for MIA; Bryce Elder (3.84 ERA) starts for ATL.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves?
Our model favors ATL at 55% to win, with a projected 7.4 total runs.