CobiaMiami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 4, 7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Miami Marlins
58-55
VS7:15 PM ET
Atlanta Braves
67-45
ATL 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
MIA
Ryan Gusto
5.31 ERA · struggling · 2.7 R/5 allowed
ATL
Grant Holmes
3.88 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
MIA to win37%mkt 44%
ATL to win63%mkt 56%
Total (model)9.1 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: ATL ML — model 63% vs market 56% (+660pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Griffin Conine MIA — 27.5% to go yard (10 HR)
- Owen Caissie MIA — 25% to go yard (12 HR)
- Heriberto Hernández MIA — 23.5% to go yard (16 HR)
- Kyle Stowers MIA — 21% to go yard (16 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Truist Park · park factor 100 (#11) · Smoky haze, 73°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
MIA Otto Lopez .321 AVG · 16 HR · .833 OPS
ATL Matt Olson .287 AVG · 31 HR · .883 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
MIA
- Jakob Marsee Day-To-Day Spasms
- Andrew Nardi 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Max Meyer 15-Day-IL Strain
- Josh Ekness 60-Day-IL Strain
- Ronny Henriquez 60-Day-IL Surgery
ATL
- Reynaldo Lopez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Strider 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Spencer Schwellenbach 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Robert Suarez 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Joe Jimenez 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
MIA 4-1 last 5 · W1
WLWWW
ATL 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: ATL 63% to win, best value on ATL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves?
Ryan Gusto (5.31 ERA) starts for MIA; Grant Holmes (3.88 ERA) starts for ATL.
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves?
Our model favors ATL at 63% to win, with a projected 9.1 total runs.