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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Pitchers

Tue, Aug 4, 8:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field

Los Angeles Dodgers
69-44
VS8:05 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
64-49

LAD 65% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Tarik Skubal
LAD
Tarik Skubal
2.79 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
Javier Assad
CHC
Javier Assad
3.75 ERA · sharp · 1.5 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

LAD to win58%mkt 65%
CHC to win42%mkt 36%
Total (model)7.8 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: CHC ML — model 42% vs market 36% (+650pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Shohei Ohtani LAD26.2% to go yard (24 HR)
  • Max Muncy LAD24.1% to go yard (21 HR)
  • Teoscar Hernández LAD17.7% to go yard (11 HR)
  • Mookie Betts LAD17.4% to go yard (13 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Wrigley Field · park factor 100 (#12) · Clear , 70°F, wind 8 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

LAD Shohei Ohtani .309 AVG · 24 HR · .940 OPS
CHC Pete Crow-Armstrong .282 AVG · 24 HR · .919 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

LAD
  • Dalton Rushing 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Kris Bubic 60-Day-IL Soreness
  • Ben Casparius 60-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Will Klein 15-Day-IL Soreness
  • Will Smith 60-Day-IL Inflammation
CHC
  • Justin Steele 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Gavin Hollowell 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Hoby Milner 15-Day-IL Surgery
  • Edward Cabrera 15-Day-IL Strain
  • Daniel Palencia 15-Day-IL Strain

📈 Recent Form

LAD 1-4 last 5 · W1
WLLLL
CHC 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: LAD 58% to win, best value on CHC ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs?

Tarik Skubal (2.79 ERA) starts for LAD; Javier Assad (3.75 ERA) starts for CHC.

What is the prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs?

Our model favors LAD at 58% to win, with a projected 7.8 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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