CobiaHouston Astros vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 12, 3:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
Houston Astros
61-60
VS3:45 PM ET
San Francisco Giants
50-70
HOU 56% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
HOU
Bryan King
3.83 ERA · struggling · 2.6 R/5 allowed
SF
TBD
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
HOU to win55%mkt 56%
SF to win45%mkt 45%
Total (model)8.2 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: SF ML — model 45% vs market 45% (+80pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Yordan Alvarez HOU — 19.6% to go yard (35 HR)
- Victor Bericoto SF — 17.1% to go yard (4 HR)
- Rafael Devers SF — 15.8% to go yard (24 HR)
- Bryce Eldridge SF — 15% to go yard (12 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Oracle Park · park factor 94 (#30) · Partly cloudy, 58°F, wind 9 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
HOU Yordan Alvarez .322 AVG · 35 HR · 1.058 OPS
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 24 HR · .800 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
HOU
- Jose Altuve Day-To-Day Bruise
- Carlos Correa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mike Burrows 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brice Matthews 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Walter 60-Day-IL Surgery
SF
- Matt Gage 60-Day-IL Strain
- Daniel Susac 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Matt Chapman 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Harrison Bader 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
📈 Recent Form
HOU 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
SF 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: HOU 55% to win, best value on SF ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Bryan King (3.83 ERA) starts for HOU; TBD (— ERA) starts for SF.
What is the prediction for Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Our model favors HOU at 55% to win, with a projected 8.2 total runs.