CobiaHouston Astros vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 11, 9:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
Houston Astros
61-59
VS9:45 PM ET
San Francisco Giants
49-70
HOU 64% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
HOU
Hunter Brown
3.53 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
SF
TBD
ERA —
📊 Model Read vs Market
HOU to win64%mkt 64%
SF to win36%mkt 37%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: HOU ML — model 64% vs market 64% (+20pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Yordan Alvarez HOU — 15.7% to go yard (35 HR)
- Rafael Devers SF — 15.2% to go yard (24 HR)
- Bryce Eldridge SF — 14% to go yard (11 HR)
- Osleivis Basabe SF — 13.6% to go yard (3 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Oracle Park · park factor 94 (#30) · Overcast , 56°F, wind 10 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
HOU Yordan Alvarez .323 AVG · 35 HR · 1.059 OPS
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 24 HR · .800 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
HOU
- Carlos Correa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Mike Burrows 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brice Matthews 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Brandon Walter 60-Day-IL Surgery
SF
- Daniel Susac 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Matt Chapman 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Victor Bericoto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Harrison Bader 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
📈 Recent Form
HOU 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLLW
SF 1-4 last 5 · L1
LWLLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: HOU 64% to win, best value on HOU ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Hunter Brown (3.53 ERA) starts for HOU; TBD (— ERA) starts for SF.
What is the prediction for Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Our model favors HOU at 64% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.