CobiaHouston Astros vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Aug 10, 9:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
Houston Astros
60-59
VS9:45 PM ET
San Francisco Giants
49-69
HOU 60% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
HOU
Hayden Wesneski
3.86 ERA · steady · 2.1 R/5 allowed
SF
Blade Tidwell
3.18 ERA · steady · 2.2 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
HOU to win54%mkt 60%
SF to win46%mkt 41%
Total (model)7.9 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: SF ML — model 46% vs market 41% (+530pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Yordan Alvarez HOU — 17.2% to go yard (35 HR)
- Christian Walker HOU — 13.2% to go yard (22 HR)
- Rafael Devers SF — 13.2% to go yard (24 HR)
- Taylor Trammell HOU — 13.1% to go yard (7 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Oracle Park · park factor 94 (#30) · Partly Cloudy , 58°F, wind 11 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
HOU Yordan Alvarez .322 AVG · 35 HR · 1.059 OPS
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 24 HR · .800 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
HOU
- Mike Burrows 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Brice Matthews 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Carlos Correa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Brandon Walter 60-Day-IL Surgery
SF
- Daniel Susac Day-To-Day Bruise
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Matt Chapman 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Victor Bericoto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Harrison Bader 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
📈 Recent Form
HOU 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLWLL
SF 1-4 last 5 · L2
LLWLL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: HOU 54% to win, best value on SF ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Hayden Wesneski (3.86 ERA) starts for HOU; Blade Tidwell (3.18 ERA) starts for SF.
What is the prediction for Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants?
Our model favors HOU at 54% to win, with a projected 7.9 total runs.