CobiaDetroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Sep 14, 7:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre · In Progress
Detroit Tigers
70-79
1
VS
Toronto Blue Jays
75-75
2
TOR 85% on the money line; model leans OVER 3.5; sharps on Toronto Blue Jays.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
DET
Troy Melton
2.52 ERA · struggling · 3.2 R/5 allowed
TOR
José Soriano
3.36 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
DET to win49%mkt 15%
TOR to win51%mkt 85%
Total (model)7.3 Rline 3.5
Biggest edge: DET ML — model 49% vs market 15% (+3360pts).
🕵️ Smart-money lean: Toronto Blue Jays — 7 sharps, 4 elite, 73% one-sided (conv 78)
💣 Home Run Watch
- Kazuma Okamoto TOR — 14.7% to go yard (32 HR)
- Riley Greene DET — 12.9% to go yard (20 HR)
- Spencer Torkelson DET — 12.7% to go yard (23 HR)
- Dillon Dingler DET — 12.6% to go yard (27 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Rogers Centre · park factor 101 (#10) · Sunny, 64°F, wind 6 mph · roof closed — Roof park — weather neutral
🔥 Hot Bats
DET Riley Greene .283 AVG · 27 HR · .853 OPS
TOR Kazuma Okamoto .271 AVG · 32 HR · .771 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
DET
- Colt Keith Day-To-Day Soreness
- Justin Verlander 60-Day-IL Strain
- Jack Flaherty 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Wenceel Perez 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Matt Vierling 60-Day-IL Strain
TOR
- Shane Bieber 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Rudy Martin Jr. 10-Day-IL Strain
- Trey Yesavage 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Anthony Santander 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Cody Ponce 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
DET 4-1 last 5 · L1
LWWWW
TOR 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLLWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: TOR 51% to win, best value on DET ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Troy Melton (2.52 ERA) starts for DET; José Soriano (3.36 ERA) starts for TOR.
What is the prediction for Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays?
Our model favors TOR at 51% to win, with a projected 7.3 total runs.