CobiaDetroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 9, 4:05 PM ET · Oracle Park
Detroit Tigers
57-60
VS4:05 PM ET
San Francisco Giants
49-68
DET 53% on the money line; model leans UNDER 7.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
DET
Troy Melton
1.58 ERA · sharp · 1.1 R/5 allowed
SF
Logan Webb
3.74 ERA · sharp · 1.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
DET to win71%mkt 53%
SF to win29%mkt 48%
Total (model)6.2 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: DET ML — model 71% vs market 53% (+1900pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Rafael Devers SF — 14.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Bryce Eldridge SF — 13.5% to go yard (11 HR)
- Osleivis Basabe SF — 13.3% to go yard (3 HR)
- Willy Adames SF — 12.8% to go yard (19 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Oracle Park · park factor 94 (#30) · Patchy rain nearby, 58°F, wind 9 mph — Rain risk — could delay; wet ball
🔥 Hot Bats
DET Dillon Dingler .287 AVG · 26 HR · .870 OPS
SF Luis Arraez .324 AVG · 24 HR · .800 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
DET
- Brant Hurter 60-Day-IL Inflammation
- Justin Verlander 60-Day-IL Strain
- Wenceel Perez 60-Day-IL Fracture
- Will Vest 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Matt Vierling 10-Day-IL Soreness
SF
- Marcelo Mayer 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Matt Chapman 10-Day-IL Surgery
- Victor Bericoto 10-Day-IL Strain
- Harrison Bader 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Joel Peguero 60-Day-IL Strain
📈 Recent Form
DET 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
SF 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: DET 71% to win, best value on DET ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants?
Troy Melton (1.58 ERA) starts for DET; Logan Webb (3.74 ERA) starts for SF.
What is the prediction for Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants?
Our model favors DET at 71% to win, with a projected 6.2 total runs.