CobiaDetroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 18, 6:40 PM ET · PNC Park
Detroit Tigers
61-64
VS6:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
61-66
PIT 56% on the money line.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
DET
Keider Montero
3.22 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
3.82 ERA · sharp · 1.6 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
DET to win52%mkt 44%
PIT to win48%mkt 56%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5
Biggest edge: DET ML — model 52% vs market 44% (+840pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Eduardo Valencia DET — 17.4% to go yard (6 HR)
- Dillon Dingler DET — 14.2% to go yard (26 HR)
- Spencer Torkelson DET — 14% to go yard (20 HR)
- Esmerlyn Valdez PIT — 13.9% to go yard (14 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
PNC Park · park factor 99 (#18) · Partly Cloudy , 65°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
DET Dillon Dingler .282 AVG · 26 HR · .819 OPS
PIT Bryan Reynolds .308 AVG · 26 HR · .801 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
DET
- Kerry Carpenter 10-Day-IL Plantar Fasciitis
- Jack Flaherty 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- James Outman 7-Day IL Concussion
- Riley Greene 10-Day-IL Strain
- Wenceel Perez 60-Day-IL Fracture
PIT
- Endy Rodriguez 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Ryan O'Hearn 10-Day-IL Strain
- Konnor Griffin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Mitch Keller 60-Day-IL Not Specified
📈 Recent Form
DET 2-3 last 5 · W1
WLLLW
PIT 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: DET 52% to win, best value on DET ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Keider Montero (3.22 ERA) starts for DET; Braxton Ashcraft (3.82 ERA) starts for PIT.
What is the prediction for Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates?
Our model favors DET at 52% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.