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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Pitchers

Wed, Sep 16, 1:10 PM ET · Progressive Field

Chicago White Sox
77-74
VS1:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
77-75

CLE 61% on the money line.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Anthony Kay
CWS
Anthony Kay
4.53 ERA · struggling · 3.7 R/5 allowed
Parker Messick
CLE
Parker Messick
2.51 ERA · sharp · 1.7 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

CWS to win36%mkt 40%
CLE to win64%mkt 61%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 7.5

Biggest edge: CLE ML — model 64% vs market 61% (+370pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • Munetaka Murakami CWS17.5% to go yard (31 HR)
  • Colson Montgomery CWS15.4% to go yard (31 HR)
  • Miguel Vargas CWS15.3% to go yard (31 HR)
  • Randal Grichuk CWS14.3% to go yard (13 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Progressive Field · park factor 97 (#24)

🔥 Hot Bats

CWS Miguel Vargas .271 AVG · 31 HR · .833 OPS
CLE Chase DeLauter .289 AVG · 15 HR · .815 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

CWS
  • Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Tommy Pham 10-Day-IL Strain
  • Prelander Berroa 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Ky Bush 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Huascar Brazoban 15-Day-IL Strain
CLE
  • Chase DeLauter Day-To-Day Sprain
  • Angel Martinez Day-To-Day Inflammation
  • Colin Holderman 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • Shawn Armstrong 60-Day-IL Strain
  • Rhys Hoskins 10-Day-IL Inflammation

📈 Recent Form

CWS 2-3 last 5 · L1
LWLWL
CLE 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: CLE 64% to win, best value on CLE ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians?

Anthony Kay (4.53 ERA) starts for CWS; Parker Messick (2.51 ERA) starts for CLE.

What is the prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians?

Our model favors CLE at 64% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
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