CobiaChicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Prediction & Pitchers
Mon, Sep 14, 6:40 PM ET · Progressive Field · In Progress
Chicago White Sox
76-73
6
VS
Cleveland Guardians
76-74
1
CWS 96% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CWS
Sean Newcomb
2.74 ERA · struggling · 3.1 R/5 allowed
CLE
Gavin Williams
3.72 ERA · sharp · 1.3 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CWS to win46%mkt 96%
CLE to win54%mkt 4%
Total (model)7.3 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CLE ML — model 54% vs market 4% (+4940pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Munetaka Murakami CWS — 17.5% to go yard (31 HR)
- Colson Montgomery CWS — 16.3% to go yard (31 HR)
- Miguel Vargas CWS — 16.2% to go yard (31 HR)
- Randal Grichuk CWS — 15.3% to go yard (13 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Progressive Field · park factor 97 (#24) · Sunny, 63°F, wind 2 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CWS Miguel Vargas .269 AVG · 31 HR · .831 OPS
CLE Chase DeLauter .289 AVG · 15 HR · .817 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CWS
- Tyler Davis bereavement Personal
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tommy Pham 10-Day-IL Strain
- Prelander Berroa 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Ky Bush 60-Day-IL Surgery
CLE
- Colin Holderman 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- Shawn Armstrong 60-Day-IL Strain
- Rhys Hoskins 10-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
CWS 1-4 last 5 · L3
LLLWL
CLE 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CLE 54% to win, best value on CLE ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians?
Sean Newcomb (2.74 ERA) starts for CWS; Gavin Williams (3.72 ERA) starts for CLE.
What is the prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians?
Our model favors CLE at 54% to win, with a projected 7.3 total runs.