CobiaChicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Wed, Aug 5, 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Chicago White Sox
59-53
VS7:10 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
61-51
BOS 50% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CWS
Sean Burke
3.04 ERA · sharp · 1.1 R/5 allowed
BOS
Sonny Gray
2.93 ERA · struggling · 2.5 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CWS to win62%mkt 50%
BOS to win38%mkt 50%
Total (model)7.7 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CWS ML — model 62% vs market 50% (+1210pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Munetaka Murakami CWS — 17.6% to go yard (24 HR)
- Miguel Vargas CWS — 17.4% to go yard (24 HR)
- Willson Contreras BOS — 16.5% to go yard (23 HR)
- Randal Grichuk CWS — 15.7% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Fenway Park · park factor 107 (#3) · Clear , 65°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CWS Miguel Vargas .273 AVG · 25 HR · .818 OPS
BOS Willson Contreras .289 AVG · 23 HR · .932 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CWS
- Jordan Leasure 60-Day-IL Strain
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Kyle Teel 10-Day-IL Sprain
- Austin Hays 60-Day-IL Strain
- Prelander Berroa 60-Day-IL Surgery
BOS
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Curtis Mead 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Zack Kelly 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
CWS 3-2 last 5 · W2
WWLWL
BOS 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CWS 62% to win, best value on CWS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox?
Sean Burke (3.04 ERA) starts for CWS; Sonny Gray (2.93 ERA) starts for BOS.
What is the prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model favors CWS at 62% to win, with a projected 7.7 total runs.