CobiaChicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Pitchers
Tue, Aug 4, 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Chicago White Sox
59-52
VS7:10 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
60-51
BOS 50% on the money line; model leans UNDER 8.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CWS
Davis Martin
3.62 ERA · struggling · 2.4 R/5 allowed
BOS
Patrick Sandoval
3.32 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CWS to win51%mkt 50%
BOS to win49%mkt 50%
Total (model)8.6 Rline 8.5
Biggest edge: CWS ML — model 51% vs market 50% (+110pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Munetaka Murakami CWS — 21.8% to go yard (24 HR)
- Miguel Vargas CWS — 21.5% to go yard (24 HR)
- Randal Grichuk CWS — 19.2% to go yard (9 HR)
- Colson Montgomery CWS — 18.2% to go yard (25 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Fenway Park · park factor 107 (#3) · Clear , 65°F, wind 8 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CWS Miguel Vargas .274 AVG · 25 HR · .821 OPS
BOS Willson Contreras .289 AVG · 23 HR · .931 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CWS
- Braden Montgomery Day-To-Day Infection
- Jordan Leasure 60-Day-IL Strain
- Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Tyler Gilbert 15-Day-IL Pinched Nerve
- Kyle Teel 10-Day-IL Sprain
BOS
- Adley Rutschman 10-Day-IL Inflammation
- Curtis Mead 10-Day-IL Fracture
- Roman Anthony 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Garrett Crochet 60-Day-IL Strain
- Zack Kelly 60-Day-IL Inflammation
📈 Recent Form
CWS 4-1 last 5 · W3
WWWLW
BOS 5-0 last 5 · W5
WWWWW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: CWS 51% to win, best value on CWS ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox?
Davis Martin (3.62 ERA) starts for CWS; Patrick Sandoval (3.32 ERA) starts for BOS.
What is the prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model favors CWS at 51% to win, with a projected 8.6 total runs.