CobiaColorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction & Pitchers
Sun, Aug 9, 2:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Colorado Rockies
46-71
VS2:15 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
58-59
STL 60% on the money line; model leans OVER 9.5.
⚾ Starting Pitchers
COL
Michael Lorenzen
6.94 ERA · struggling · 4.8 R/5 allowed
STL
Michael McGreevy
3.59 ERA · struggling · 3.8 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
COL to win36%mkt 41%
STL to win64%mkt 60%
Total (model)11.3 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: STL ML — model 64% vs market 60% (+500pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- Hunter Goodman COL — 23.4% to go yard (33 HR)
- Jordan Walker STL — 20% to go yard (23 HR)
- Mickey Moniak COL — 18.7% to go yard (19 HR)
- Alec Burleson STL — 17.6% to go yard (18 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Busch Stadium · park factor 99 (#19) · Clear , 79°F, wind 6 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
COL Hunter Goodman .305 AVG · 33 HR · .858 OPS
STL Jordan Walker .283 AVG · 23 HR · .833 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
COL
- Jose Quintana 60-Day-IL Sprain
- Jeff Criswell 15-Day-IL Strain
- Jaden Hill 15-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Chase Dollander 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Welinton Herrera 60-Day-IL Surgery
STL
- Ramon Urias 60-Day-IL Tendinitis
- Max Rajcic 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
COL 1-4 last 5 · L4
LLLLW
STL 3-2 last 5 · W1
WLWWL
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: STL 64% to win, best value on STL ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Michael Lorenzen (6.94 ERA) starts for COL; Michael McGreevy (3.59 ERA) starts for STL.
What is the prediction for Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals?
Our model favors STL at 64% to win, with a projected 11.3 total runs.