CobiaCobia← cobiapicks.com

Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Pitchers

Sat, Aug 8, 6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park

Cincinnati Reds
56-59
VS6:45 PM ET
Washington Nationals
57-61

CIN 56% on the money line.

⚾ Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
ERA —
Andrew Alvarez
WSH
Andrew Alvarez
ERA — · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed

📊 Model Read vs Market

CIN to win34%mkt 56%
WSH to win66%mkt 44%
Total (model)9 Rline 8.5

Biggest edge: WSH ML — model 66% vs market 44% (+2200pts).

💣 Home Run Watch

  • CJ Abrams WSH17.1% to go yard (28 HR)
  • Andrés Chaparro WSH16.7% to go yard (6 HR)
  • Brady House WSH15.3% to go yard (8 HR)
  • Dylan Crews WSH13.8% to go yard (9 HR)

🌤️ Ballpark & Weather

Nationals Park · park factor 100 (#15) · Clear , 77°F, wind 4 mph — Fair — no weather edge

🔥 Hot Bats

WSH James Wood .287 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS

🩹 Injury Report

CIN
  • Hunter Greene 15-Day-IL Surgery
  • Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
  • Nick Lodolo 15-Day-IL Abrasion
  • Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
  • Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
WSH
  • Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
  • DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
  • James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
  • PJ Poulin 60-Day-IL Strain
  • Mitchell Parker 60-Day-IL Surgery

📈 Recent Form

CIN 0-0 last 0
WSH 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW

🎯 The Cobia Pick

Our read: WSH 66% to win, best value on WSH ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.

Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.

FAQ

Who is pitching in Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals?

Chase Burns (— ERA) starts for CIN; Andrew Alvarez (— ERA) starts for WSH.

What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals?

Our model favors WSH at 66% to win, with a projected 9 total runs.

See our full pick on this game → All MLB previews
21+ where legal · entertainment & informational · not financial advice · not affiliated with any league or Polymarket · problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER · © 2026 Cobia Picks