CobiaCincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals — Prediction & Pitchers
Fri, Aug 7, 6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park · Final
Cincinnati Reds
56-59
3
VS
Washington Nationals
57-61
5
FINAL · CIN 3–5 WSH
⚾ Starting Pitchers
CIN
Chase Petty
4.83 ERA · struggling · 3.0 R/5 allowed
WSH
Cade Cavalli
3.57 ERA · steady · 2.0 R/5 allowed
📊 Model Read vs Market
CIN to win29%mkt 0%
WSH to win71%mkt 100%
Total (model)9.8 Rline 9.5
Biggest edge: CIN ML — model 29% vs market 0% (+2880pts).
💣 Home Run Watch
- CJ Abrams WSH — 22.8% to go yard (28 HR)
- Brady House WSH — 19.9% to go yard (8 HR)
- Sal Stewart CIN — 17.9% to go yard (25 HR)
- Dylan Crews WSH — 17.8% to go yard (9 HR)
🌤️ Ballpark & Weather
Nationals Park · park factor 100 (#15) · Clear , 80°F, wind 5 mph — Fair — no weather edge
🔥 Hot Bats
CIN Elly De La Cruz .277 AVG · 25 HR · .869 OPS
WSH James Wood .287 AVG · 30 HR · .928 OPS
🩹 Injury Report
CIN
- Hunter Greene 15-Day-IL Surgery
- Blake Dunn 60-Day-IL Surgery
- Nick Lodolo 15-Day-IL Abrasion
- Brandon Williamson 60-Day-IL Soreness
- Tony Santillan 15-Day-IL Strain
WSH
- Connelly Early 15-Day-IL Inflammation
- DJ Herz 60-Day-IL Strain
- James Wood 10-Day-IL Strain
- PJ Poulin 60-Day-IL Strain
- Mitchell Parker 60-Day-IL Surgery
📈 Recent Form
CIN 4-1 last 5 · W4
WWWWL
WSH 2-3 last 5 · L2
LLWLW
🎯 The Cobia Pick
Our read: WSH 71% to win, best value on CIN ML. See the live smart-money board, conviction, and the exact market at cobiapicks.com.
Verified smart-money picks, graded in public. 21+ · not financial advice.
FAQ
Who is pitching in Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals?
Chase Petty (4.83 ERA) starts for CIN; Cade Cavalli (3.57 ERA) starts for WSH.
What is the prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals?
Our model favors WSH at 71% to win, with a projected 9.8 total runs.